It occurs to me that endorsing Barack Obama is hardly a Contrarian position, given O’s level of support. But I’m about to make a call that should preserve the sanctity of our title.
Back when I threw my lot in for Obama, I made a stern prediction (preserved in this thread at Candleblog) that the junior Senator from Illinois would fail to achieve the nomination of his party. Yet I was still supporting him. Why?
Because Obama is the zeitgeist candidate, who carries with him the germ of possibility that America can, for the first time in recent history, live up to at least some of the "truths" we purport to hold as "self-evident." His candidacy truly represents change, and not just from the cynicism of the last eight years, but also from historic domestic and international policy miscalculations. In other words, it’s history calling on that phone at 3 AM. Who’s picking up?
Not the Democratic party.
Because the Cintons are the party. Part of its DNA. This is something they’ve been working towards since Bill left the White House, if not when they were sweeties in college. It’s clear that Hillary prizes winning over all. Why else put Osama Bin Laden in her campaign ads, after having publicly condemned the Bushies for employing "the politics of fear?" Or talk about "obliterating" Iran, having previously endorsed "robust diplomacy" in dealings with the country? I guess "robust" is code for "blow your asses off the map."
She clearly believes that aping Republicans on national security is the only way to win in the general election. Has she not seen the public polling on the war in Iraq?
No matter. Again, the Clintons are the party, and what they say goes. So here’s the official Contrarian call:
Hillary takes the nomination. She strongarms, bribes and otherwise coerces the superdelegates into going against the majority of pledged delegates and the popular vote. She successfully paints Obama as unelectable. She continues to exploit unfounded (and geopolitically inaccurate) fears about national security. She tacitly sanctions soft bigotry while loudly accusing the media of sexism. . . on and on, South of Heaven, as Slayer once sang.
And here’s the rub: with her impossibly high negatives, Hillary helps to coalesce the conservative vote around the weakest GOP candidate since Bob Dole. Then it’s four years with an ill-tempered, ethically-compromised, mentally-addled oldster with zero sense of where his country is at and where it needs to go.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: establishment always wins. America, meet the new boss — same as the old boss.